Hydrogen or Biofuels?
Two experts go head-to-head on the future of energy
September / October 2004
Amory Lovins and David Morris Utne magazine
In our January-February 2004 issue, we reprinted from
Alternet an essay by local-economy advocate David Morris, vice
president of the Institute for Local Self-Reliance, in which he
takes aim at the advocates of a hydrogen-based economy, asserting,
among other things, that because large energy interests are poised
to dominate the process of generating hydrogen from substances like
gas, oil, and coal, the push to hydrogen will actually be a setback
for renewable energy from wind power, biomass, and other sources.
Energy analyst Amory B. Lovins, CEO of the Rocky Mountain Institute
in Snowmass, Colorado, and a prominent advocate of hydrogen fuel
cell technology, responds.
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FROM AMORY LOVINS
In voicing skepticism about the role of hydrogen in our energy
future, my valued friend David Morris makes several points:
He is understandably frustrated that hydrogen will initially be
made mainly from natural gas, as 96 percent of U.S. hydrogen is
now. But he wrongly thinks this will waste energy and increase
carbon dioxide emissions. Because fuel cells are two to three times
more efficient than gasoline engines, CO2 per mile will actually
drop by 40 to 67 percent compared with today's gasoline cars -- and
much more with efficient car designs.
He's irritated that nuclear advocates claim they'll be the
hydrogen producers. But they won't be -- their option costs far too
much.
He's worried that hydrogen might come from coal. This is a real
possibility later, but by then we will have good ways to keep the
carbon out of the air.
Because General Motors likes fuel cells, he assumes that car and
oil companies are preparing for an oil-based hydrogen future.
Generally, they're not.
He thinks hydrogen will be too costly to distribute. Wrong --
the Swiss study he cites [which claimed that the compacting of this
very light and diffuse element for storage and transport is too
costly and energy-intensive] considered only the clearly uneconomic
options and ignored hydrogen's advantage of more efficient use.
He thinks a hydrogen transition will need 'hundreds of billions
of dollars' of new infrastructure. This is a vast overestimate.
He doesn't recognize hydrogen's important potential to
accelerate the adoption of renewable energy.
Many environmentalists suspect the Bush administration's
enthusiasm for hydrogen serves mainly to distract attention from
the short-term energy steps they're unwilling to take. It's
impossible to tell from the outside whether that's true or not, but
if it is, this self-inflicted wound is not a reason to reject a
sound hydrogen transition as a complementary part of a broader
energy strategy starting with aggressive efficiency, renewable
energy, and distributed resources.